Here's an example of the methodology I devised to prepare for an auction draft bid sheet (QB):
1.) Go to last year's FFL website (assuming you are in the same league) and pull the top 12 QB's (assuming a 12 teamer and same scoring system).
2.) Calculate what %-age of total scoring those 12 QB's contributed to for the average team. For example, say use this data (My main FFL which is a 12 team PPR league) that lists the top 12 by weekly average for those who played all 17 games:
Player | Avg |
Allen, Josh BUF QB | 20.414 |
Prescott, Dak DAL QB | 18.614 |
Hurts, Jalen PHI QB | 17.971 |
Jackson, Lamar BAL QB | 17.392 |
Love, Jordan GBP QB | 17.156 |
Purdy, Brock SFO QB | 16.7 |
Wilson, Russell DEN QB | 15.743 |
Herbert, Justin LAC QB | 15.644 |
Stroud, C.J. HOU QB (R) | 15.619 |
Goff, Jared DET QB | 15.112 |
Mahomes, Patrick KCC QB | 14.849 |
Mayfield, Baker TBB QB | 14.338 |
*Note, we have 6 points for passing TD's...which is why Russ Wilson was a viable starter.
The league average weekly score for a starter who played all 17 games : 16.629
The 6th highest scoring team through a 14 week regular season scored: 1541.28 or ~110 a week.
The highest scoring team through a 14 week regular season scored: 1706.32 or or ~122 a week.
Split the difference between the top team and the last playoff team (6th): ~116 a week.
So, you need a QB that scores 16.629/116 = 14.33% of your total scoring.
3.) Now your auction budget is probably gonna be $200. Therefore, your bidding for all 3 QB's on your roster should not exceed $29 or you are losing value. The 2nd and the 3rd QB's likely will cost you about $8 (e.g. $7 for the back up mid-draft....$1 for the 3rd guy at the end of the draft when all bidders have exhausted their budgets). So, QB1 should not be bid for more than $21.
So, Brock Purdy was the #6 QB last year averaging 16.7 weekly. $21/16.7 = $1.25 bid per weekly points scored.
4.) Now grab a pre-season QB ranking with total estimated points...like the below (from FG Top 300 PPR):
Rank | Player | Pos | PPG | Points |
1 | Josh Allen BUF | QB | 22.51 | 365.99 |
2 | Jalen Hurts PHI | QB | 22.38 | 361.88 |
3 | Patrick Mahomes II KC | QB | 21.93 | 354.58 |
4 | Lamar Jackson BAL | QB | 22.41 | 345.31 |
5 | Dak Prescott DAL | QB | 20.22 | 326.68 |
So, I would establish a bidding price of $28 for Josh Allen ($1.25 * 22.51) and $25 for Dak Prescott ($1.25 * 22.41).
5.) I wouldn't completely stick to a bid sheet with these calculated values. Sometimes, I'll over bid because I want a guy....and worry about the BYE week back up during the season. But it is good to have a bid value sheet handy for all positions just so you know when you are likely getting diminishing returns from a bid dollar/expected production point.
Also, this bid sheet loses value as the auction draft goes on because the budgets of other teams have been spent....and usually the FFL website will not allow you to bid more than a dollar for a player at the end of the draft (e.g. You spent all of your budget on 5 players....and need 16 players...the site will then lock your budget in at $11 for the final 11 players). BUT, if you adhere to it for the first 30-40% of the draft....you can control the draft board from 40%-90% remainder of the draft and back fill in some nice depth, defense, kickers, etc....
I usually do this for all positions...but skip kicker and defense....those are worthless to waste any bidding dollars on. Just grab a top 7 D...a top 10 K for $2 at the end....and rotate in kickers/defenses weekly on the waiver wire.