Bill Belichick has never won anything when he didn’t have Tom Brady as his quarterback.
— Like, everybody
OK, not
everybody. But it sure gets a lot of airplay. And the people who use the line generally do so with a harrumph of finality, as though theirs is the last word on the topic, case closed, no more calls, we have a winner. They also would have you believe it’s a brainy sports statistic they’ve come up with on their own, this after studying the rosters, crunching the numbers and watching hours of game film. And then they deliver their findings as an urgent, we-interrupt-this-program news bulletin, or as if they’re belting out the big song in a hit Broadway musical, the kind that theatergoers are humming as they filter out to West 44th Street.
Without context — and hang on, as I’ll be providing context in a moment —
Belichick’s record in games without Tom Brady as the primary quarterback, counting the playoffs, is 85-102. This includes
Belichick’s five seasons with the Cleveland Browns (37-45), his inaugural 2000 season with the Patriots (5-11), the first two games of 2001, which includes the Mo Lewis hit that landed Drew Bledsoe in the hospital (0-2), the 2008 season in which Matt Cassell came off the bench in the first quarter of the season opener following the Bernard Pollard hit that ripped up Brady’s left knee (11-5), the first four games of the 2016 season while
Brady was sitting out his Deflategate suspension (3-1) and the mostly messy four seasons of the post-Brady era (29-38).
View: https://twitter.com/agerney/status/1745485914392961219
There it is. All you need to do is roll out these numbers and then quickly leave the room before anyone gets a chance to say, “But, hey, wait a minute,” and you can strut through the rest of the day feeling quite pleased with yourself.
But, hey, wait a minute.
Cue the context in 3 … 2 …
The problem with caterwauling about what
Belichick failed to accomplish without Brady is that it takes an awkward detour to avoid discussing what these two men, working as a coach-quarterback tandem, did accomplish. And what they accomplished was nine trips to the Super Bowl and six championships.
I am here to tell you there’s no way, just no way, Brady would have quarterbacked the
Patriots to six Super Bowl victories without Belichick. And I know what you’re thinking: How could anybody possibly make that statement!!?? And you’re right. To do so requires the creation of an alternate timeline, the sort that led to many great adventures for Marty McFly and Doc Brown but doesn’t work here in the real world. Agreed? Good. But accepting that premise requires that we also accept this: There’s no way of knowing how many times Brady would have quarterbacked the Patriots to the Super Bowl winner’s circle had there been another head coach in residence.
Since both scenarios are make-believe and unknowable, they must be discarded to have an intelligent discussion. What we need to do, then, is limit ourselves to events that actually happened. As in:
- Yes, Belichick’s record as a head coach without Brady is 85-102.
- Yes, the Belichick-Brady tandem has combined to win six Super Bowls.
What we have here is a classic example of two things being true at the same time. The problem is that to use the “Bill without Brady” record as evidence that Belichick is an overrated head coach, it’s necessary to leave out the six Super Bowls. But it waters down the Belichick vitriol for people who get paid for their vitriol.
Kevin Faulk, the former Patriots running back who played in three Super Bowl winners during his 13 seasons in New England, had this to say about the “Bill without Brady” argument: “A lot of people have that opinion about that subject. I laugh at it.”
Why?
“Defense,” Faulk said. “Defense, defense, defense. We all know who designed the defense for those great teams. That’s what he did. That’s how he made his mark (with the
New York Giants), and that’s what he did with the Patriots.
“Now look, Brady is Brady,” Faulk said. “Nothing changes that. But those two matched up was like a match made in heaven. Now they’re saying, ‘Oh, Brady went to Tampa and Bill had nothing after Brady left.’ Yeah! Right! Exactly right! But what nobody talks about is that Brady had the opportunity to pick the team he went to, and he picked a pretty darned good team with some really good receivers. And it worked out. Bill, on the other hand, had to start from scratch.”
I agree with most of that. As in, the Patriots
did have some great defenses during the Super Bowl seasons. Don’t know about you, but in Super Bowl XXXVI there was a specific moment when lots of folks who were certain New England was going to get clobbered by the St. Louis Rams suddenly believed the Pats might actually win. That moment arrived in the second quarter when Ty Law intercepted a Kurt Warner pass and returned it 47 yards for a touchdown.
Ty Law waves to the crowd after intercepting a pass and running it in for a touchdown in the Patriots’ 20-17 win against the St. Louis Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI. (Nancy Kerrigan / Getty Images)
Yes, Brady took the Pats on a pulsating drive in the last 1 minute and 21 seconds of regulation. Yes, Adam Vinatieri connected on a 48-yard field goal that clinched New England’s first championship. But it all began with the pick six by Law. It began with defense.
I’m not going point out the many big plays the Patriots defense has made on the Super Bowl stage — (clears throat)
strip-sack by Dont’a Hightower against Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan (clears throat) — because it would be a waste of time and space. Besides, these tricky facts are bothersome to the Belichick haters on social media who enjoy making all-caps pronouncements. Sorry about that. It’s just that Belichick and Brady were a history-making, coach-quarterback tandem for two incredible decades, and I doubt anybody’s going to surpass what they did.
If your counterpoint is that all that winning was still, oh, I don’t know, 70 percent Brady and 30 percent Belichick, or 80 percent Brady and 20 percent Belichick, or, heck, 90 percent Brady and 10 percent Belichick, go right ahead. In this case, we’re just making up numbers, so knock yourself out.
Now then, I did say I agree with most of what Faulk said. Where I disagree is the part where Brady picked a potential winner when he went to Tampa Bay whereas, to quote Faulk, “Bill, on the other hand, had to start from scratch.”
But while Brady picked the right team, Belichick picked the wrong players. There’s no getting around that. And if we include the 2022 decision to hand the offense to Matt Patricia and Joe Judge, Belichick didn’t pick the right coaches, either. Or to put it another way, he picked the right coaches but put them in the wrong jobs.
But to take that and to toss in Belichick’s
Cleveland years and other game days in which Brady was not doing the quarterbacking conveniently leaves out the two decades in which the Patriots, under Belichick, were an all-phases-of-the-game powerhouse.
I write these words as someone who absolutely believes
it was time for the Patriots to make a coaching change.
I write these words as someone who chooses to see the big picture, not the edited and sliced-up picture whose sole purpose is to diminish Belichick’s career.