When it comes to the upcoming NFL Draft, the quarterbacks are the headliners.
As many as four, perhaps even five, could go in the first round.
The Patriots, who need to find their next franchise quarterback, will be in the mix.
They could stand pat
at No. 3, taking whichever quarterback falls to them there, or trade out of the pick, acquire assets, and perhaps land the QB later in the first round.
If they make the selection up top, either
LSU’s Jayden Daniels or North Carolina’s Drake Maye figure to be the pick. If the hype about Michigan’s J.J. McCarthy is to be believed, he might be a consideration there as well.
Oregon’s Bo Nix and Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. are possibilities if the Patriots trade down.
What to make of each?
Hall of Fame quarterback Kurt Warner, who’s done extensive film study on the quarterbacks he considers to be
the top five, offered assessments on
the contenders.
Speaking with MassLive, the NFL Network analyst pointed out issues with all of them, saying: “They’re all going to have to get better at the NFL to be that guy.”
Basically, teams are evaluating on traits and potential. No one knows what the finished product is going to be like. It’s educated guesswork - even for Warner.
“I can see the upside in all of these guys,” Warner said. “You look at the deficiencies and go, ‘What does that really mean?’ I’ll be the first to tell you I don’t know what any of it means. I don’t know how you decipher, I don’t know how you know what they’re going to be at the next level.
“They all have to get better,” he went on. “To know which ones have the capabilities like Tom (Brady) did to get better every year, that’s not everybody. Some people kind of max out. Those are the questions I don’t have answers to.”
And therein lies the rub. Even a Hall of Fame quarterback can’t say with any certainty who’s going to be the next Josh Allen, or worse, the next Josh Rosen.
That said, Warner’s top five, in order, are USC’s Caleb Williams, LSU’s Daniels,
North Carolina’s Maye, Washington’s Penix and Michigan’s McCarthy.
Williams is the consensus going No. 1 to the Chicago Bears. Warner believes he is the “most seasoned” and most talented of the lot, and should go No. 1.
As for the rest, who are all
in play for the Patriots, here’s what Warner had to say about each in terms of what he liked, as well as what worries him most.
Jayden Daniels
Warner thought
Daniels had a really special year. Given that was the LSU quarterback’s only “special” year raises one giant question in Warner’s mind.
“Is this one of those seasons that was just a great season? Or, is this the guy that we’re going to get moving forward?” Warner said. “Because he did so many good things. Now, they had a very simple offense. They ran the same play over and over again. But, he’s a dynamic playmaker. A good thrower of the football. He made good decisions and made a lot of plays.”
Warner said it’s easy to get excited about
the Heisman Trophy winner, who threw 40 TD passes with just four picks during the 2023 season.
“But I’m always a little concerned when a guy plays three years, and has one really good one,” Warner said. “Then you go, ‘Ok, is that an outlier, or is that who they are? Kind of like Joe Burrow. And Joe showed us, that’s who he is. Maybe Jayden is that same way.”
Based on the film from last season, Warner can’t help but be impressed with Daniels, who ESPN’s Adam Schefter believes will be the Commanders pick at No. 2.
“If I’m just going off the film, and what he did last year, I really like a lot of what he’s about, and what he did,” Warner said of Daniels, who is expected to have his 30 visit with the Patriots Monday. “His level of consistency last year, game in and game out, and some of the games he played, were about as flawless as anybody that we’re talking about. So you feel good based off the tape you saw last year. I just don’t know because we didn’t get to see that for a good two, two-and-a-half years like we did with Caleb. But I really liked him.”
Drake Maye
Warner sees why
Maye is no longer the unquestioned No. 2, first highlighting what’s worrisome to him about the North Carolina quarterback.
“There were a lot of inconsistencies with Drake Maye this past year. Bouncing in the pocket, the technique wasn’t the best. Missing a lot of lay-ups,” he said. “Those things concern me, not that you can’t clean ‘em up, not that you can’t get better at them. Obviously, he was better his junior year than he was last year. But I feel like there are things there that you need to clean up for him to be able to be consistent at the next level.”
Warner said the hope would be for a top-tier quarterback to be closer to the finished product, than not. He’s on board with Maye’s potential, he’s just not sure how close he is to being a starter come September.
“You don’t want to have to correct a lot of stuff in my opinion even though he’s got the huge upside, and the big arm and the body and all of that stuff,” Warner said of Maye, who was in Foxborough Friday for his 30 visit. “Those are questions that you say: ‘Ok, can we clean it up? How quickly can it happen? Can that become his norm?’
“Or, is the loose technique something we’re going to be dealing with year in and year out? That’s the big question with me, with Maye, at that position.”
Michael Penix Jr.
Warner is an unabashed fan of Penix and how he delivers the football.
“I like him a lot. There’s a lot of good stuff to like,” Warner said. “I liked watching him at the Combine. The ball really came out clean. There are some things from a technique standpoint that I worry about a little bit. But, he was really accurate down the field. I liked the pace and the way the ball came off (his hands). He’s had two really good years.”
Warner brought up the medicals (Penix has torn his ACL twice) and how that might impact how teams view him.
On tape, however, there isn’t much question. Warner puts Penix at No. 4, or even as high as No. 3.
“He and Maye, I go back and forth. It depends on what traits you like and what you see in each of them. But he’s a guy I really liked, and there’s some upside there for sure,” Warner said. “I thought he made a lot of big plays, a lot of game-changing plays this past year.”
Asked if he’d classify Penix as a game-changer, Warner said that’s subjective.
“Do you look at a game-changer as being above and beyond? I look at above and beyond sometimes as being the guy that can process, make a little bit of movement in the pocket to create a play, like Tom (Brady) did,” Warner said. “Was he a game-changer? Yeah, he was a game-changer because of what he did mentally, the big throws, how he handled pressure, and so I look at that a little differently.”